The Poetical Analysis Continued

Alright, now lets look at the next 10 things the Poetics says must be present in a work.

1. Does this complex plot contain the reversal, the recognition or both? Yes it contains both; the good fortune of catching the fish catch is reversed into a loss and the old man recognizes his pride has cost him his good fortune.
2. Does the plot contain suffering? Yes; both physical and psychological.
3. Is the Reversal probabilistic? Mostly with the exception of the complete consumption of the marlin by the sharks but the reader is likely to allow for this unlikely situation since it makes the story more tragic when the entire Marlin is devoured and the reader reasons the man might have been too exhausted to think or pull the partially devoured fish into the boat once its weight had diminished. 
4. Is the reversal and recognition caused by character error? Yes
5. Is the character error due to ignorance or poor judgement?  Yes
6. Is the character less than perfectly good or evil? Yes
7. Is the reversal a first rate or second rate reversal? It's first rate; moving from good to bad fortune.
8. Is the recognition a first rate recognition? Yes; the old man realizes his own ignorance and it occurs under probable circumstances without another character to point it out or the recollection of a memory or the inference of something or through the use of tokens. 
9. Does the reversal and recognition instill fear and pity in the reader? Yes; it comes from both plot and spectacle.
10. Does the narrative contain all four kinds of tragedy? Yes; the simple, the complex, the suffering and character tragedy.